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Mar 18, 2025
The new Brazilian economic geography

‍How Brazil in the interior surpassed that of the capitals

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Imagine a traveler touring Brazil in 1991.

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He begins his journey in downtown São Paulo, a vibrant metropolis, the economic heart of the country, where commercial buildings dominate the skyline and the streets are filled with workers and engraved.

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Then he heads northeast to Petrolina, in the Pernambuco hinterland, where he sees a small urban center surrounded by vast dry areas and some plantations irrigated by the São Francisco River.

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Descending west, already in Mato Grosso, he finds Lucas do Rio Verde, a nascent agricultural village, which barely appears on the map, with just over 6 thousand inhabitants.

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Now, imagine that same traveler retracing the route in 2022.

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São Paulo, despite its gigantism, has barely grown and faces the challenges of this stagnation.

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Petrolina, on the other hand, more than doubled in size, becoming a global agricultural hub.

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What about Lucas from Rio Verde? It became an agribusiness powerhouse, with an average income higher than that of many capitals.

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The growth of these cities not only defied expectations, but it redefined the country's own economic map.

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What made some cities in the Brazilian interior grow as if they were driven by an invisible engine, while others were stagnant?

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The Great Reverse March

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For much of the 20th century, the history of Brazil was a story of rural exodus, millions leaving the countryside to try their lives in large cities.

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São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, and Belo Horizonte absorbed huge waves of migrants, mainly from the Northeast.

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But at the end of the century, that logic began to reverse.

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Cities such as Sinop (MT), Luís Eduardo Magalhães (BA) and Rio Verde (GO) began to grow at a pace that would make any urban planner question traditional models.

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Between 2010 and 2022, 548 municipalities grew above 1.5% per year, and most of them stayed Far from the capitals.

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People were moving to smaller and medium-sized cities, not out of necessity but out of opportunity.

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The case of Lucas do Rio Verde is emblematic. In the 1980s, the city barely existed.

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Small-scale farmers in Southern Brazil were attracted by the promise of fertile and cheap land.

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At first, it was difficult - poor roads, non-existent infrastructure, but then, something changed.

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The explosion in global demand for soybeans in the 2000s made Lucas do Rio Verde the epicenter of a new agricultural economy.

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Today, its population is 12 times larger than it was in 1991, the average monthly wage in the city reached 2.6 minimum wages, is well above the national average.

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The municipality exports soybeans and meat to dozens of countries and is home to multinational agribusiness companies.

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This transformation was not an isolated case.

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The city of Sinop (MT), founded in the 1970s, has quintupled its population since 1991.

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‍Petrolina (PE), which, from being so isolated in the hinterland, was once a cangaço route, became one of the largest fruit export centers in Brazil.

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The growth formula

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Three main forces propelled this revolution in the interior: agribusiness, industrial decentralization and the consolidation of urban services.

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Agro is POP

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In the early 1990s, the Midwest region produced Less soy than the South of Brazil.

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Today, the situation has been reversed. The advancement of agricultural technologies, combined with government incentives, transformed previously underused areas into true granaries of the world.

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Lucas do Rio Verde, Rio Verde (GO) and Luís Eduardo Magalhães (BA) surfed this wave with perfection.

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In each of these cities, the growth of agribusiness generated a production chain that attracted qualified workers, private investments, and new opportunities.

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The cycle was self-fueled: more production meant more jobs, more local consumption, more infrastructure.

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The impact was not restricted to the Midwest.

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In the Northeast, cities such as Petrolina and Juazeiro (BA) bet on irrigated fruit growing.

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Today, these cities supply European and Middle Eastern markets with high-quality mangoes and grapes.

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Incomes rose, commerce flourished, and the population exploded.

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The industry reaches the interior

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In the years 1990 and 2000, large industries began to look for alternatives to congested metropolises. Medium-sized cities, with cheap land and tax incentives, have become attractive destinations.

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Goiana (PE) it's an exemplary case.

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Until 2010, it was a city of just over 70,000 inhabitants, with an economy based on the sugar-alcohol sector.

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Until Fiat/Stellantis decided to build a factory there.

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The impact was instantaneous: Goiana's GDP grew by more than 20% per year between 2015 and 2019, and the city rose nine places in the state economy ranking.

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The rise of the interior middle class

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As cities grew and incomes increased, a new phenomenon emerged: the emergence of a Robust middle class in the interior.

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In the 1990s, if someone wanted to buy a car or a sophisticated appliance, they would probably have to travel to the nearest capital.

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Today, cities like Marabá (PA), Dourados (MS) and Sobral (CE) are home to malls, dealerships, and universities.

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These cities began to offer a quality of life comparable to that of the metropolises, without the traffic problems and violence of the capitals.

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More Brazil, less São Paulo

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Meanwhile, capitals face challenges. São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, and Porto Alegre grew little or even shrunk.

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First, because they were already saturated. The high cost of living, violence, and urban problems made large cities less attractive.

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Second, because economic growth was decentralized, with jobs and investments migrating to where there was space and opportunities.

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Cidade População (1991) População (2022) Crescimento Setor Motor
Lucas do Rio Verde (MT) 6.693 83.798 +1152% Agronegócio
Petrolina (PE) 175.406 386.786 +121% Fruticultura e serviços
São Paulo (SP) 9,6 milhões 11,4 milhões +19% Serviços e indústria

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The difference is stark. While Lucas do Rio Verde and Petrolina exploded in growth, São Paulo grew by less than 20% in three decades.

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Forward is what you walk

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The rise of interior cities was the result of profound economic forces, strategic investments, and a new population dynamic.

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This silent revolution redistributed growth and created new centers of economic power.

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But this transformation comes with challenges, many of these cities grew too fast and now they must ensure that this growth is orderly.

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Looking to the future, one thing is clear: Brazil today has growth vectors that point in new directions.

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